TRADE WIRE · PREVIEW
LAL exploring wing upgrades ahead of the deadline windowBOS cap sheet stays clean — second apron avoided in latest simDEN bench scoring flagged as top trade priority by the enginePHX hard-cap math blocks the rumored three-team frameworkLAL exploring wing upgrades ahead of the deadline windowBOS cap sheet stays clean — second apron avoided in latest simDEN bench scoring flagged as top trade priority by the enginePHX hard-cap math blocks the rumored three-team framework

NBA AI TRADE WATCH — THE DAILY COLUMN

AI scouting for NBA trades

Live cap, injuries, and fit — a deterministic cap engine verifies every proposed trade against the 2023 CBA before the AI writes a word about it.

Cap Engine v2024-25.3 · Records offline — publishing sync pending · Preview edition: sample items are labeled, nothing here is presented as live data.

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Trade Wire — Preview

What the wire is watching

  • LALexploring wing upgrades ahead of the deadline window
  • BOScap sheet stays clean — second apron avoided in latest sim
  • DENbench scoring flagged as top trade priority by the engine
  • PHXhard-cap math blocks the rumored three-team framework

Preview items shown in the live format. When the feed connects, every item carries “Last checked at HH:MM ET via [source] — Confidence: Official/Reported.”

Daily Trade Watch

3 legal-trade frameworks, every morning

LALIllustrative preview

Wing upgrade framework

the Lakers' need vector starts with two-way wings who fit under the apron math.

Legality: checked by Cap Engine v2024-25.3 when the data pipeline goes live · Fit Analysis: AI-generated estimate

DENIllustrative preview

Bench scoring package

Denver's second unit is the flagged gap; the engine tests guard/wing combos against the tax line.

Legality: checked by Cap Engine v2024-25.3 when the data pipeline goes live · Fit Analysis: AI-generated estimate

PHXIllustrative preview

Three-team framework

rerouted after the hard-cap math blocked the rumored version; the legal path costs a pick swap.

Legality: checked by Cap Engine v2024-25.3 when the data pipeline goes live · Fit Analysis: AI-generated estimate

Frameworks are illustrative in this preview edition. Published cards show the engine version and the fit label on every trade — legality from the engine, story from the AI, never the reverse.

Cap Apocalypse Meter

How close is each team to the wall?

SECOND-APRON PRESSURE — LEAGUE PREVIEW

The meter tracks days to the hard cap and dollars below the first and second apron for all 30 teams, validated nightly. Full per-team meters open with the Cap Tracker release.

Open the Cap Tracker

The Engine

What the cap engine checks

First & Second ApronSpending ceilings above the tax line — each one switches off different trade tools.
110% / 125% MatchingSalary matching bands depend on how much salary a team sends out.
Aggregation BanSecond-apron teams cannot combine salaries to match one bigger contract.
Base Year CompensationA freshly extended player's outgoing value can count at half — the classic silent deal-killer.
Poison PillRookie extensions make a player's trade value two numbers at once until the extension starts.
Stepien RuleNo trading away first-round picks in consecutive future years.
Trade ExceptionsBanked salary slots with expiry dates — use them or lose them.
Cash LimitsAnnual caps on cash sent and received in deals, tracked per season.

Every check returns a verdict and a reason code with the rule cited — for example: “Fails: Second Apron team cannot aggregate per CBA 7.3.b.” The engine is versioned and re-tested against historical trades before any release.

Separation of powers

Engine judges. AI narrates.

The Cap Engine (deterministic)

Encodes the 2023 CBA: aprons, matching bands, aggregation, BYC, poison pills, Stepien, exceptions, cash. Same input, same verdict, every time — with the rule cited. The AI never decides legality.

Trader AI (storyteller)

Reads the roster, the injury report, and the team's need vector, then proposes packages and writes the “why each team says yes” fit analysis — always labeled an AI-generated estimate.

How it works Browse all 30 teams

PRO HOOPS AI TRADER

AI scouting for NBA trades — live cap, injuries, and fit. A deterministic cap engine checks legality; the AI only tells the story.

Cap Engine v2024-25.3 · Cap sheets and rosters carry a source and a timestamp — never a “100% accurate” claim.

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